Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 2.123331 2.420781 2.744705 3.123642 3.554816 4.030218 4.594268
2025-09-14 1.615216 2.008489 2.474643 3.067938 3.803235 4.685080 5.823956
2025-09-21 1.342486 1.772249 2.312268 3.040684 3.998157 5.214883 6.880752
2025-09-28 1.144221 1.586561 2.169654 2.994605 4.132634 5.649146 7.827441
2025-10-05 1.077735 1.559446 2.221379 3.197457 4.601590 6.551382 9.470993
2025-10-12 0.970967 1.459697 2.156763 3.223527 4.816862 7.112580 10.680804
2025-10-19 0.906673 1.411446 2.156290 3.335473 5.158157 7.874291 12.242152
2025-10-26 0.819526 1.317754 2.076488 3.316027 5.293910 8.334818 13.381805
2025-11-02 0.746874 1.237891 2.008038 3.303815 5.433909 8.805967 14.570446
2025-11-09 0.673616 1.148876 1.915360 3.241319 5.483135 9.131293 15.544179
2025-11-16 0.629311 1.102842 1.886977 3.279709 5.698002 9.737616 17.029003
2025-11-23 0.590618 1.062182 1.862982 3.321538 5.919313 10.368316 18.603869
2025-11-30 0.539489 0.998636 1.800548 3.302651 6.054835 10.901077 20.127830
2025-12-07 0.486740 0.927420 1.719023 3.244045 6.118608 11.323145 21.515135
2025-12-14 0.444806 0.871246 1.658112 3.215215 6.230830 11.837713 23.116960
2025-12-21 0.405193 0.815000 1.590932 3.166496 6.298323 12.271786 24.603141
2025-12-28 0.401404 0.828226 1.656649 3.380975 6.895271 13.764533 28.301637
2026-01-04 0.376371 0.795973 1.630140 3.408539 7.121779 14.554039 30.665042
2026-01-11 0.363119 0.786452 1.647732 3.526901 7.543209 15.768075 34.015402
2026-01-18 0.337265 0.747560 1.601290 3.506340 7.671380 16.392519 36.181748
2026-01-25 0.314530 0.713028 1.560520 3.493429 7.813558 17.056892 38.495325
2026-02-01 0.289337 0.670447 1.498393 3.427351 7.832222 17.457176 40.261952
2026-02-08 0.274980 0.650916 1.484705 3.467941 8.092377 18.405980 43.354864